A Good Start Tends to Mean a Good Year

91%, eh?  Those are odds you can work with….Here are some general market thoughts via Credit Suisse on what happens when the year gets off to a good start.  Unfortunately, this doesn’t leave much upside even if the odds are high:

“Since 1970, 90% of the time the January to February period has seen markets rise by 6% or more (as has been the case in 2013), equities have risen for the rest of the year on average by c11%.

The only exception to this was in 1987 – but even in that case equities managed to rise 18% between the end of February and the middle of August (before falling 20% during Black Monday). Yet, in spite of that correction, markets still were up on the year overall.”

Source: Credit Suisse

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Got a comment or question about this post? Send me a message on Twitter or send me an email here and I'll get back to you shortly.
Cullen Roche

Cullen Roche

Mr. Roche is the Founder of Orcam Financial Group, LLC. Orcam is a financial services firm offering research, private advisory, institutional consulting and educational services.

More Posts - Website

Follow Me:
TwitterLinkedIn