Home » Most Recent Stories

BYRON WIEN: 10 FOR 2012

3 January 2012 by Cullen Roche 2 Comments

The 2012 predictions keep rolling in….This time Byron Wien of Blackstone offers his annual list of 10 predictions.  Bear in mind, he hasn’t done terribly well in the last few years (via Business Insider):

1.  Oil prices decline to $85 a barrel

2.  The S&P 500 heads above 1400

3.  Real GDP growth exceeds 3%, unemployment drops below 8%

4.  Obama runs against Romney in 2012

5.  Europe finally develops a long-lasting plan

6.  The computer becomes the new (terrorist) weapon of choice

7.  Investors go long on currencies of prudent governments

8.  Congress finds a way to cut $1.2 trillion over ten years

9.  The Arab Spring finally matures

10.  Emerging markets appreciate some 15 to 20%

Source: Business Insider

Cullen Roche

Cullen Roche

Bio - Coming Soon.

More Posts - Website

Follow Me:
TwitterYouTube

Disclosures - Unless otherwise noted, authors have no positions in any securities mentioned and readers should never consider this to be investment advice. Always consult your financial advisor before acting on any ideas. Comments Guideline - Readers who denigrate authors or other readers will be banned without warning. This site does not tolerate any sort of reader abuse. The goal of this site is to create an environment that is conducive to learning and better understanding of the monetary system and the investment world. We expect readers to behave maturely and responsibly. We welcome and encourage intense and intelligent discourse, but the site adheres to a strict 1 strike policy. While it is your right to speak freely, it is not your right to behave childishly. Above all else, please enjoy the site. It is intended to be used as an educational tool and we hope the intelligent and mature debate will further that purpose. We hope readers will make an effort to respect that goal. Comments with excessive linking or foul language will be moderated before posting.
Comments
  • ES

    Meh, growth at 3% and oil at 85 don’t jive. Oil will probably hover around 100, and growth will be under 2%.

    01/03/2012 at 1:56 PM
  • Conventional Wisdumb

    I agree with ES strong growth and oil at $85 seem entirely incompatible but lower priced oil may be the only way that Byron’s models can hit his macro numbers so he forced the variable to fit the conclusion.

    01/03/2012 at 2:14 PM