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[24 May 2012 | 2 Comments | ]
RAIL TRENDS: STEADY AS SHE GOES….

The recent mixed rail data continued today with a weekly decline in carloads and a rise in intermodal volumes.  Carloads were off 5% year over year while intermodal was up …

Market Indicators »

[24 May 2012 | No Comment | ]
BULLISH SENTIMENT REBOUNDS

Bullish sentiment rebounded as bearish sentiment pulled back from unusually high levels in the latest AAII Sentiment Survey.

Market Indicators »

[18 May 2012 | 7 Comments | ]
RISK RATIO INDICATES MORE CORRECTION TO COME

The current market correction should not come as a surprise to any one. There has been consistent and substantial evidence that the rally that began last October was unsustainable. We discussed the coming correction beginning in March (see here, here,here and here ). The question now is becoming whether the current correction is over or is there more to come?

Market Indicators »

[18 May 2012 | No Comment | ]
CHINA’S PROPERTY MARKET CORRECTION IS IN FULL SWING

Once again we would like to commend the ISI Group for their extensive work on China. Their latest analysis is showing a correction in the residential housing sector (based on ISI’s proprietary index).

Market Indicators »

[17 May 2012 | 6 Comments | ]
RAIL TRAFFIC: STILL MIXED

We’re continuing to see some mixed signals out of the weekly rail traffic data.  The bad news is carloads continue to fall.  This week they were down -5.2%.  The good …

Chart Of The Day, Market Indicators »

[17 May 2012 | No Comment | ]
BULLISH SENTIMENT NEARS A TWO YEAR LOW

Bullish sentiment is near a two-year low in the latest AAII Sentiment Survey, while bearish sentiment has spiked by 17.5 percentage points over the past two weeks.

Chart Of The Day, Market Indicators, Most Recent Stories »

[17 May 2012 | 3 Comments | ]
GOLDMAN’S CURRENT ACTIVITY INDICATOR: GROWTH CONTINUES

Goldman Sachs has developed an indicator that I’ve previously discussed here.  It’s essentially an attempt to create a better real-time indication of global economic growth than the global PMI’s and …

Market Indicators »

[16 May 2012 | 9 Comments | ]
CAPACITY UTILIZATION: NO RECESSION HERE

The monthly data on industrial production and capacity utilization always tells us a lot about the economy.   The most important takeaway from this morning’s report is that there are …

Market Indicators »

[10 May 2012 | 2 Comments | ]
RAIL TRAFFIC – STILL POSTING MODEST GROWTH

No big changes in the rail trends this week.  Growth is still modest in intermodal with the 10 week moving average at 3.7%.   Not bad, but not great.  Overall …

Market Indicators »

[10 May 2012 | 5 Comments | ]
AAII: THE RETURN OF BEARISH SENTIMENT

Bearish sentiment rose to a seven-month high, while bullish sentiment fell to an eight-month low in the latest AAII Sentiment Survey.