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[23 Jan 2012 | 9 Comments | ]
GOLDMAN: SHORT U.S. TREASURIES…

They’re 4% late to the party here, but Goldman is jumping on the bearish bonds bandwagon….probably earlier than most though

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[23 Jan 2012 | 40 Comments | ]
HUSSMAN: RECESSION RISK REMAINS HIGH

Talk about sticking to your guns here – John Hussman still believes the likelihood of recession is very high.  It’s a call that he’s been making for a number of …

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[5 Jan 2012 | 6 Comments | ]
BENEFITING FROM THE MARKET DIVERGENCE…

There are certain times when the markets just seem to disconnect. Right now that disconnect is between the US dollar, US interest rates and US equities. Since the end of November we have seen a growing disconnect – primarily between equities and other asset classes

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[2 Jan 2012 | 20 Comments | ]
THE ULTIMATE 2012 INVESTMENT PREDICTIONS & OUTLOOKS LIST

It’s that time of year when investors are prepping for the new year and economists and advisors are offering their full year perspectives.  I tend to think that full year …

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[16 Dec 2011 | 38 Comments | ]
9 REASONS THE U.S. EQUITY MARKET HAS THE GREEN LIGHT – FOR NOW…

The US equity market is poised for a near-term rally. It is a difficult statement to make, given all the headwinds, but the signs are there.

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[17 Oct 2011 | 6 Comments | ]
11 QUALITY STOCKS FOR THE CONTRACTION CYCLE

Credit Suisse says the economy has moved into a contraction cycle.  And that means portfolio require adjustment.  They use a cycle clock indicator to determine their equity allocation based on …

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[11 Oct 2011 | 10 Comments | ]
GOLDMAN: U.S. IS OKAY FOR NOW, BUT SLOW-DOWN AHEAD

As previously discussed, no double dip, but instead continued sequential quarter to quarter gdp growth with q4 possible better than q3 as well, helped by lower gasoline prices.

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[7 Oct 2011 | 12 Comments | ]
CREDIT SUISSE: BUY THE DIPS – RECESSION IS PRICED IN

The Credit Suisse investment committee has concluded that a recession is now priced in and that further downside should be bought. They believe volatility is likely to continue, but …

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[16 Sep 2011 | 28 Comments | ]
6 SIGNS OF CAPITULATION?

In his most recent research note, David Rosenberg says we have likely seen short-term capitulation within a secular bear market.  But make no mistake – this doesn’t mean we are …

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[12 Sep 2011 | 6 Comments | ]
MACRO MUSINGS

With federal deficits too low most everywhere, it’s like a general crop failure, with the question being which crops will go up the most vs each other. Not easy to say, but the euro has to be a bit of a favorite given the sincerity and intensity of their commitment to austerity/deficit reduction? And their new good buddies, the Swiss, now helping out by buying euro as others buy their currency with their new cap in place.