Home » Market Indicators

CONSUMER CREDIT CONTINUES TO CONTRACT

6 August 2010 by Cullen Roche 1 Comment

Consumer credit continues to contract although we saw a bit of improvement this month.  Considering the enormous debt strains that remain at the consumer level you could actually argue that the improvement (though marginal) in consumer credit is a net negative for the markets.  Consumers need to de-leverage further (via Econoday):

“Consumer credit contracted again, this time by $1.3 billion in June. If there is good news it’s that the level of contraction is less severe than prior months. Also good news is an upward revision to May which now shows a $5.3 billion contraction vs. the initial contraction of $9.1 billion. April’s contraction was a particularly severe $14.9 billion. Simply, the consumer sector is getting hit with weak demand for loans combined with tight bank lending and heavy charge offs.

Nonrevolving credit offers some good news, up $3.2 billion on top of May’s increase of $1.8 (revised from a $6.5 billion contraction). Solid unit vehicle sales in July point to possible gains for this component in the next report. The bad news is in revolving credit which contracted $4.5 billion in June to extend a very long string of contraction. On an annual percentage basis, revolving credit is down 10.5 percent vs. minus 1.4 percent for nonrevolving credit and minus 4.5 percent overall.”

Disclosures - Unless otherwise noted, authors have no positions in any securities mentioned and readers should never consider this to be investment advice. Always consult your financial advisor before acting on any ideas. Comments Guideline - Readers who denigrate authors or other readers will be banned without warning. This site does not tolerate any sort of reader abuse. The goal of this site is to create an environment that is conducive to learning and better understanding of the monetary system and the investment world. We expect readers to behave maturely and responsibly. We welcome and encourage intense and intelligent discourse, but the site adheres to a strict 1 strike policy. While it is your right to speak freely, it is not your right to behave childishly. Above all else, please enjoy the site. It is intended to be used as an educational tool and we hope the intelligent and mature debate will further that purpose. We hope readers will make an effort to respect that goal. Comments with excessive linking or foul language will be moderated before posting.
Comments
  • jt26

    It’s encouraging that credit is declining modestly even as the savings rate agressively ramps up. This tells me that we’re not (yet) in a death spiral. Good news all round for the bond market … slow growth + significant demand for 0-3 TBill/Bonds.