* This post was written before Mr. Roche founded Monetary Realism, which was formed due to several disagreements Mr. Roche and many other former MMT proponents had with the school of thought. For more info on the difference in views please see here. For more on MR’s views please see here.
It’s nice to see some mainstream economists making logical arguments with regards to America’s financial position. In a recent research piece Credit Suisse shows that America is far from being broke. Of course, anyone who understands MMT and the actual workings of a modern fiat monetary system knows this is a preposterous notion to begin with, but CS is using a traditional framework and their evidence counters much of what we so often hear from fear mongerers and politicians:
“Some of our senior politicians and market pundits say it every day: “America is broke.”
We wonder if this is meant to be a joke. America is not even close to being broke. Household net worth is $57T. Public government debt – including the state and local sector – is about $12T. If we consolidate balance sheets to reflect the fact that the household sector is ultimately responsible for repaying this debt we arrive at a household net worth of $45T or 303% of GDP. This is at the high-end of the historical norm of 250- to 300% since the data began in 1952. The current level was surpassed only in the recent tech stock and housing bubbles.
No doubt policymakers have a lot of work to do in terms of agreeing on a politically palatable way to adjust current laws to reduce the unprecedented intergenerational transfer of wealth associated with old entitlement programs and a wave of new retirees. But, ultimately, the resources are there and as we are increasingly finding out, so too is the political will.”
Source: Credit Suisse
Read Some Related Articles on Pragmatic Capitalism -
All-Time Highs in the Stock Market are Perfectly Normal
“If you think the market’s “too high” wait ’til you see it 20 years from now.” – Nick Murray ...read more
AI, Robotics, and the Future of Jobs
This is a good piece sent courtesy of John Mauldin. It goes well with this video which is a pretty scary perspective of what the robots could do ...read more
Further Signs of China's Slowing Property Markets
China's official housing index now shows home price appreciation slowing faster than some had anticipated. ...read more
Citi: Beware Rising HY Spreads
Worried about a potential recession and another big market decline? Analysts at Citi say a good way to track this risk is to look at the HY bond spreads. Specifically, ...read more