FRONT-RUNNING UPGRADE MONDAY
10 January 2010 by Cullen Roche
5 Comments
There hasn’t been any official merger or upgrade news, but investors are eager to front-run the market open. Shorts are running for cover ahead of earnings season and the analysts continue to play catch-up as their estimates remain well below reality. Futures are up 40 points on no news:







Strong China data
The rally in Asia was mainly due to the approval of index futures. Strong export data was secondary. We’re seeing the usual Monday morning ramp before M&A and upgrade announcements.
Agreed, TPC. This theme has the potential to repeat on the calendar for a few weeks…buy it after lunch on Friday and sell into a blast off open on Monday with the analyst upgrades. It’s getting to be a fearless, complacent market, but it can stay that way for a while.
TPC, when do you see the comparisons getting more difficult for companies, as they are obviously clearing some pretty low hurdles here?
back half of 2010 starts to get dicey. Especially if we keep seeing upgrades. See here:
http://pragcap.com/are-earnings-estimates-too-high
Thanks, TPC. I didn’t realize you had just written something so specific to that very question. Thanks again.