GURU OUTLOOK: DAVID TEPPER – 2009′S BILLION DOLLAR MAN
David Tepper isn’t exactly a household name, but he will be when 2009 is said and done. Tepper, who runs hedge fund Appaloosa Management, is estimated to return over 120% after fees in 2009 and Tepper will personally make over $2B. The manager of the $12B fund made a series of very bold bets that the U.S. economy would thwart depression and rebound sharply in 2009. He was right.
The fund specializes in distressed debt and as we mentioned earlier this year 2009 was a once in a generation opportunity. Tepper capitalized on it in a big way. He has been reported to keep a pair of brass testicles on his desk, but the real thing was on full display in late 2008 and early 2009 as Tepper moved his fund into the most dangerous of dangerous sectors – the banks. He reportedly purchased Bank of America near $3.72 and Citi near $0.79. With Bank of America trading at $15.33 and Citi at $3.34 Tepper’s fabulous year is perfectly summed up.
It hasn’t been all roses for Tepper’s investors over the years, however. Despite an average return of 30% per year Tepper’s fund is known for its volatility and finished 2008 down by 25%. An excellent year compared to the S&P 500, but a nail in the coffin for most hedge funds. Nonetheless, Tepper’s investors stood by the billionaire and they’re glad they did.
But what is he investing in now? Tepper doesn’t think the recovery move is over just yet. Much like John Paulson (who rose to infamy shorting & then buying beaten down names during the crisis) he says rates will stay low and that valuations on stocks and bonds remain favorable. Staying true to his brass, Tepper is running into the sector of the market where many analysts see the next crisis unfolding. He is piling money into commercial real estate. His fund currently has over $2B invested in CMBS and he remains a very large investor in the banks.
As of Appaloosa’s November 22nd SEC filing, the hedge fund was still largely invested in the banks. A lone position in Microsoft represents the extent of their tech holdings. Unlike John Paulson, who is broadly hedged with large holdings in healthcare and gold, Tepper is much more focused. Their largest positions are as follows:
1. Bank of America (BAC) $573MM
2. Citigroup (C) $385MM
3. Wells Faro (WFC) $286MM
4. Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB) $246MM
5. Suntrust (STI) $192MM
The full holdings can be found here. Please note that Appaloosa likely has substantial investments outside of their required SEC reporting:

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I have to wonder with a guy like this. Now that we all know the government plotted to save Goldman just who did Tepper know who just happened to be privy to some of this info? A billionaire with little to gain and everything to lose doesn’t put his neck on the line when things appear so dire. Just what did he really know that made him feel so great about investing such a large portion of his fund in such high risk names. You always talk about risk management TPC. Would you ever place such a trade? I doubt it. Not unless you knew it was a sure thing.
And you have to ask yourself an important question about these supposed “insider” – do you want to trade with them or against them? I know it’s easy to hate Goldman and other highly influential investors who have inside ties, but that’s no reason to invest against them. People have been hating on Goldman the whole way up. But you know what? Their research and analysis has been pretty spot-on.
The stock market isn’t some moral battle over right and wrong. It’s about making money. It’s great to voice displeasure and try to change the corrupt side of reality, but for now, the best the small investor can do is keep an eye on the smart money and incorporate their ideas into their own investment plans.
And no, I would never place such a foolish “all in” trade. This is the sort of trade that can literally bankrupt people. Just ask the billionaire who decided it was smart to continuing averaging into Bear Stearns in 2008 (his name escapes me for the moment though I want to say his last name was lewis). This could have easily ruined Tepper’s legacy.
This is an entirely impractical trade and certainly makes one wonder what he might have known that gave him such incredible confidence.
Ditto to Anacott Steel.
This guy seems more like a gambler than an investor, his holdings havent performed well since the filing.
Maybe he understood that the government couldn’t not save the system. Heck, i’m a rank amateur, and I bought Citibank at 1.37–not an all in trade, of course, nothing I couldn’t afford to lose. I even bought AIG preferred, which was paying 25%–and tripled my money on it, sold much too early! But then again, I’m a relative amateur… I also bought BAC, GE, and C notes in the spring…those are doing marvelously…