MARKET WRAP – SELLING THE NEWS
As we expected, stocks cratered this afternoon as investors look beyond the Fed news to the jobless report on Friday. Investors are paring back risk in case the jobs report disappoints once again. The job market remains one of the primary concerns about the recovery. The S&P 500 finished the day roughly flat. Banks finished down 1.5% and the S&P erased a full 1.5% rally.
U.S. Economy
The Federal Reserve concluded its two-day meeting and kept the federal funds rate unchanged at .125%, as expected. They acknowledged that “economy has continued to pick up,” but continue “to anticipate that economic conditions… are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels of the federal funds rate for an extended period.” The December 2010 eurodollars were up .03 at 98.44.
The Institute of Supply Management’s index of services slipped from 50.9 to 50.6 in October, weaker than expected, but still a sign of expansion.
The Mortgage Bankers Association said that its index of mortgage applications was up 8% last week, helped by a 30-year fixed mortgage rate of 4.97%.
ADP Employer Services said that 203,000 private sector jobs were lost in October, down from a loss of 227,000 jobs in September. The U.S. Labor Department will release its next unemployment report on Friday morning.
Grains and Cotton
December corn started the day higher, but closed down 6 cents at $3.84, blamed on profit-taking and better harvest weather this week.
Livestock
December cattle closed up .55 at 86.25, helped by the weak U.S. dollar and gradually improving economic news.
Energies
The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) said that crude oil supplies were down 4.0 million barrels last week due to lower imports. Supplies of gasoline were down 300,000 barrels while heating oil supplies were down 1.1 million barrels. December crude oil was up .80 at $80.40.
The DOE also said that refinery use fell from 81.8% to 80.6% last week. Over the past four weeks, gasoline demand was unchanged from a year ago and distillate demand was down 14.8% from a year ago. December reformulated gasoline gained 1.23 cents to $2.0127.
Metals
The World Bank said that they expect real GDP in China to be up 8.4% in 2009 and up 8.7% in 2010, both improvements from their earlier forecast. December copper closed up 3.70 cents at $2.9930.
December gold closed up $2.40 at another new high of $1,087.30 while the U.S. dollar dropped lower.
Currencies
An index of services in the U.K. increased from 55.3 to 56.9 in October, the highest in over two years. The December British pound finished up 1.91 cents at $1.6589.
Source: Daily Futures



Bloomberg reported another reason for the big giveback at the end of the day: “U.S. stocks erased most of a 156- point rally in the Dow Jones Industrial Average after a House bill to curb credit-card rates spurred concern about bank earnings, outweighing the Federal Reserve’s plan to keep interest rates at a record low.”
what’s with the never-ending bearish bias, are you a masochist? Do you actually enjoy losing money on any short you’ve put on since March? Do you even know what the trend is?
It would be foolish to let anything besides your gold touts(kudos on that)impact my trading, but where is the alpha in your site? Why should anybody read anything you’re sharing?
And are you blind or do you selectively read certain posts on the site? I have posted more than a few bullish stories on the site in the last 24 hours. I’ll start with two headliners:
http://pragcap.com/jeff-saut-says-buy-the-dip
http://pragcap.com/the-6-reasons-credit-suisse-sees-the-sp-at-1150
And anyone who is a regular reader knows that I have been wildly bullish at many junctures during this bull market. As for the alpha, it is all in my portfolio. I was very bullish heading into earnings season and sold that day the market topped. It’s all on the site for your review if you care to actually take the time to follow it. If you have a constructive and fact based retort please allow me to see. Where exactly did I ever say I was shorting this market?
I just reviewed your troll filled comment history. It looks like you visit the site just about every day. Care to explain your contradicting statements and actions?
Let me guess – you’re a buy and hold investor who is trying to rebuild his net worth and is now eating up the recovery chatter just as its being fed to you?