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PRE-ELECTION YEAR PERFORMANCE

21 March 2011 by Chart of the day 3 Comments

By Chart of the day

Today’s chart illustrates how the stock market has performed during the average pre-election year. Since 1900, the stock market has tended to perform well during the first seven to eight months of the average pre-election year. For the remainder of the year, pre-election performance has tended to be more flat/choppy. This pre-election year has followed the path of the average pre-election year rather closely with a rally up until mid-February and a correction into mid-March with the aftermath of the devastating Japanese earthquake and tsunami weighing heavily on the market over the past few days.

Notes:
- Where’s the Dow headed? The answer may surprise you. Find out right now with the exclusive & Barron’s recommended charts of Chart of the Day Plus.

Chart of the day

Chart of the day

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Comments
  • apj

    adding best and worst would be useful…..buteven so, maybe I’ll keep my financials a tad longer :)

    03/21/2011 at 2:01 AM
  • Dan Dell

    i knew the DOW was good for something… although given that there are only four years between elections, and that the post- and election years comprise 50% of them, i really do not believe that pre-election years could be that significant. i dont care what philip fisher’s son says…

    03/21/2011 at 4:33 AM
  • Patrick

    Basically straight up until September. What’s easier than that?! Next year is the same to complete the presidential cycle. Who says investing is hard work? :~))

    03/21/2011 at 7:21 AM