RANDOM THOUGHTS BY TPC – IN LIMBO UNTIL FRIDAY?
2 September 2009 by Cullen Roche
2 Comments
- The market appears to be taking a bit of a breather as we await the Friday jobs data.
- The route in Hong Kong continued last night as the market traded down 1.8%. That slide has to end before global markets can stabilize.
- Gold has been making a stealth move higher (currently 2% higher). Is this a return of the fear trade, a return of the inflation trade or a bit of both? Either way, it looks like John Paulson wins again….
- Since when did we allow our markets to be dominated by a $4 stock (I know AIG is “$40″ now, but don’t let that reverse stock split fool you)?
- Speaking of AIG, did that reverse stock split actually create the psychological catapult that the company was hoping for?
- Volume is relatively heavy again today even though the market is flat. Downside volume is dominating the action again at 2:1. Weekly breadth figures have turned decisively negative. There is no longer any leadership in the rally. Look out below….



I’ve been saying the markets would stay flat because everyone is expecting a correction or a further rally. I still believe that +/- a couple hundred points on DOW,
IMHO, the quantity of jobs is secondary to the quality of new jobs created. A total jobs number that combines temporary, seasonal and/or close to minimum wage jobs is simply misleading.
Here is the trend that we have to worry about:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UJ_Dk8e2XLk