Home » Most Recent Stories

THOUGHTS ON THIS MORNING’S DATA

1 March 2010 by Cullen Roche 1 Comment

Personal income and spending data was a bit mixed this morning.  Personal incomes rose just 0.1% month over month versus expectations of 0.4%.  Spending came in better than expected at 0.5%,  but was largely due to sales of gasoline.  The price index was flat month over month.

ISM manufacturing data came in a bit weaker than expected, but showed some underlying signs of strength.  Of special note were employment and new orders.  Employment improved to 56.1 while new orders eased a bit to 59.5 – positive readings for both.  This week’s employment data (due Friday) could very well be overlooked as we continue to see signs of thawing in the job’s market and investors attribute the weakness in February payrolls to horrendous weather.  All in all, the ISM manufacturing data showed signs of easing a bit from very robust levels, but continues to show an expanding economy.  Manufacturing remains one of the few bright spots in the economy.

In other news, construction spending was down 0.6%, but was slightly better than analyst expectations of -0.8%.   Equities are moving higher on the day as investors increase their exposure to risk on the back of strong global equities.  Asian stocks were up sharply overnight as tightening fears eased.  In addition, a deal between Prudential and AIG is giving investors increasing confidence that the credit crisis is truly over.  Today was another mixed day of analyst upgrades as we see 1 upgrade for every 1 downgrade today.  M&A news in the biotech area also helped to bolster equity prices.  It looks like the “buy Friday’s close and sell Monday’s open” trade is still working.

Disclosures - Unless otherwise noted, authors have no positions in any securities mentioned and readers should never consider this to be investment advice. Always consult your financial advisor before acting on any ideas. Comments Guideline - Readers who denigrate authors or other readers will be banned without warning. This site does not tolerate any sort of reader abuse. The goal of this site is to create an environment that is conducive to learning and better understanding of the monetary system and the investment world. We expect readers to behave maturely and responsibly. We welcome and encourage intense and intelligent discourse, but the site adheres to a strict 1 strike policy. While it is your right to speak freely, it is not your right to behave childishly. Above all else, please enjoy the site. It is intended to be used as an educational tool and we hope the intelligent and mature debate will further that purpose. We hope readers will make an effort to respect that goal. Comments with excessive linking or foul language will be moderated before posting.
Comments
  • billw

    Will somebody explain to me how spending can be up when sales taxes at all levels are down?