TRUCK TONNAGE INCREASES 0.9% IN APRIL
From the ATA:
“The American Trucking Associations’ advance seasonally adjusted (SA) For-Hire Truck Tonnage Index increased for the sixth time in the last seven months, gaining another 0.9 percent in April. This followed a 0.4 percent increase in March. The latest improvement put the SA index at 110.2 (2000=100), which is the highest level since September 2008. Over the last seven months, the tonnage index grew a total of 6.5 percent.
The not seasonally adjusted index, which represents the change in tonnage actually hauled by the fleets before any seasonal adjustment, equaled 111.3 in April, down 4.4 percent from the previous month.”
“Compared with April 2009, SA tonnage surged 9.4 percent, which was the fifth consecutive year-over-year gain and the largest increase since January 2005. Year-to-date, tonnage is up 6 percent compared with the same period in 2009.
ATA Chief Economist Bob Costello said that the latest tonnage reading fits with a sustained economic recovery. “Truck tonnage volumes continue to improve at a solid, yet sustainable, rate. Tonnage is being boosted by robust manufacturing output and stronger retail sales.” Costello also reiterated a statement from last month’s release, saying: “For most fleets, freight volumes feel better than reported tonnage because the supply situation, particularly in the truckload sector, is turning quickly.””
Source: ATA




Thanks TPC. I was expecting this graph to match up 100% or there abouts with the ceridian index someone posted a few days back. Though they generally track in the long term, there seems to be shorter term higher frequency variations with the ATA data.
http://www.ceridianindex.com/
ATA showing continued growth, ceridian showing a decline. So who’s right?
My first instinct is to go with the data that appears to be less processed. The ceridian index seems way too smooth for my liking – no high frequency components. Historically ceridian have what seems to be perfect tops, and perfect bottoms.
Agreed. Very odd how many indicators (such as rail freight) have not proven to be leading indicators.