New episode of Three Minute Macro here.
Is the USA in a recession?
While the media has traditionally referred to a recession as 2 quarters of negative GDP the White House and NBER disagree that the recent 2 quarter decline is consistent with a recession. In this video we explore the technical definition of a recession and the primary indicators that the NBER uses to define a recession. We also explore why this feels like a recession even if it might not technically be a recession.
Useful links:
1) Business Cycle Dating, NBER
2) How do economists determine recessions?
3) Here’s What the Six Key Official Indicators of US Recession Show
Mr. Roche is the Founder and Chief Investment Officer of Discipline Funds.Discipline Funds is a low fee financial advisory firm with a focus on helping people be more disciplined with their finances.
He is also the author of Pragmatic Capitalism: What Every Investor Needs to Understand About Money and Finance, Understanding the Modern Monetary System and Understanding Modern Portfolio Construction.