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THREE THINGS I THINK I THINK

  • There’s an old saying that the dumb money transacts in the AM and the smart transacts in the PM.  Are these morning rallies we keep seeing a case of the little guy jumping into the rally late or is this old saying meaningless?
  • Am I a fool for being net short at a time when all of the big banks have a target of 1200+ on the S&P and remain powerful drivers of equity prices?
  • The VIX continues to tick higher little by little on up days for the market.  Is this a sign that the smart money is starting to pay up for protection as equities melt higher?  Or is the prolonged downtrend in the VIX here to stay?

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