Barry Ritholtz posted this excellent chart (figure 1) earlier that shows US interest rates going back to 1790. As you can see, we’ve had a long history of low rates. [ … ]
Category: Myth Busting
(Popular Myths of the Economy and Markets….BUSTED!
A MONKEY ECONOMY AS IRRATIONAL AS OURS
As markets have evolved over time and financial theories have progressed humans have become increasingly confident in the systems we create and the world we live in. Entire generations of [ … ]
THE MYTH OF THE GREAT BOND “BUBBLE”
There is increasing chatter of the great “bond bubble” as U.S. Treasury bonds surge ever higher and deflation fears rise. This is just one more myth that has persisted in [ … ]
The Myth of the Money Multiplier
The following comes from an excellent new paper from the Fed. The paper describes the myth of the money multiplier and is an absolute must read for anyone who is [ … ]
THE INEFFICIENT MARKET IRONY BEHIND THE EURO CRISIS
I’ve spent a great deal of time in the last few months describing why the Greek crisis was much larger, more complex and a greater risk than anyone assumed. As [ … ]
3 THINGS I THINK I THINK – BUTTERFLIES AND RAINBOWS DON’T RUIN YOUR DAY
1) Milton Friedman famously opined that the Euro would not survive its first major financial crisis. I just can’t help but wonder if Friedman was correct about the Euro being [ … ]
IS THE MARKET FAIRLY VALUED?
I’ve long argued that most valuation metrics are fraught with pitfalls that the average investor too often falls for. What is often described as “value” is too often a bloated [ … ]
IS RANDOM WALK DEAD?
FIN Alternatives is reporting that Burton Malkiel is starting a China based hedge fund. The author of A Random Walk Down Wall Street is famous for blasting active portfolio management [ … ]
MARKET MYTHS EXPOSED
Do you think you have to diversify? That small caps are always better? That earnings drive stocks? That the FDIC can protect you? That bubbles can be unwound slowly? This [ … ]