It’s that time of year when investors are prepping for the new year and economists and advisors are offering their full year perspectives. I tend to think that full year macro and micro outlooks can be misleading since I don’t believe in the ability to accurately forecast the economy 12 months in advance, but these sort of reports can certainly help one in generating a macro perspective and strategic approach. The following is a broad array of macro outlooks and strategic approaches to the markets in 2012. Enjoy.
Macro Outlooks and Predictions
Predictions are hard, especially about the future….
Top equity strategist outlooks for 2012 – Business Insider
Difficult 2012 for fixed income? – Morgan Stanley
How to trade emerging markets in 2012 – CitiGroup
2012 global strategy – Bank of America
2012 Market outlook – Ed Yardeni, Yardeni Research
10 surprises for 2012 – UBS
Recession in 2012? Flip a coin – SF Fed
2012 Forex shocker – Nomura Research
Will 2012 Be Europe’s Minksy Moment? – PIMCO
2012 outlook – Jim Rogers
5 key questions for 2012 – Goldman Sachs
2012 – the year of diminished expectations – Mark Zandi, Moodys
2012 Global outlook – Morgan Stanley
2012 – The Year of the reckoning – Peter Schiff
The 6 biggest questions of 2012 answered – Bob Janjuah, Nomura
Richard Bernstein’s favorite picks for 2012
Bob Doll – 10 predictions for 2012 – BlackRock
Will the shorter business cycle lead to recession in 2012? – Deutsche Bank
Continued volatility, but no recession in 2012 – Jeff Saut, Raymond James
5 Consumer challenges heading into 2012 – Gluskin Sheff
2012 outlook on China – The Telegraph
Forecasting Italy’s Borrowing needs in 2012 – Sober Look
The three recession risks – Credit Suisse
Europe to double dip in 2012? – Capital Economics
Sluggish growth to continue – CEO & CFO surveys
The “Doomsday view of 2012” – Binghamton University
Eurozone debt redemptions will force Europe to act in 2012 – Credit Agricole
Depression will lead to collapse of the Euro – Felix Zulauf
Recession is still coming – Lakshman Achuthan, ECRI
No way to avoid recession in 2012 – Hoisington
2012 will mirror 2009 – Societe Generale
The global economy to slow in 2012 – ScotiaBank
5 important global trends to watch in 2012 – Nomura Securities
Moderate economic expansion to continue – FedEx Corp
The risk of recession has come down – Goldman Sachs
Still no recession in the foreseeable future, but a balance sheet recession – Cullen Roche
Growing signs of a disinflationary 2012? – Cullen Roche
The 2012 earnings outlook – Zacks.com
5 macro trends for 2012 – Council on Foreign Relations
Strategy, Risks & Top Trades for 2012
Bridgewater – buy treasuries and gold, sell stocks…
7 Calls for 2012 – Nomura Securities
15 surprises for 2012 – Doug Kass
A bullish outlook for gold in 2012 – Deutsche Bank
House prices to drop 30% in 2012? – RBC
8 Risks to equity markets in 2012 – Morgan Stanley
10 outrageous predictions for 2012 – Saxo Bank
4 risks in 2012 – Bank of America
Oil to rally again in 2012 – CitiGroup
10 market risks in 2012 – Nomura
2012 is shaping up to be a good year for equities – David Kotok
Stay in the equity game – PNC
The Dow:Gold ratio will hit 1:1 – Bob Janjuah, Nomura
10 for 2012 – Byron Wien, Blackstone
Gold is the ultimate bubble and could be on the verge of massive bear market – George Soros
2012 investing outlook – Kiplinger
How to invest in 2012 – JP Morgan
Oil prices just can’t fall much – Barclays
Europe’s banks are insolvent – Michael Platt
Credit strategy 2012 – CitiGroup
2 bullish drivers for 2012 – Credit Suisse
Morgan Stanley 2012 commodities outlook – Morgan Stanley
6 reasons to remain bullish – Jeff Saut, Raymond James
The 2012 commodities outlook – Diapason Commodities
Is QE3 on the way? – Cullen Roche
Still long gold and copper – Goldman Sachs
A sober look at natural gas – Sober Look
5 Investment themes for 2012 – Richard Bernstein
The consensus gold outlooks – Zero Hedge
7 investment ideas for 2012 – David Rosenberg, Gluskin Sheff
5 Risks heading into 2012 – David Rosenberg, Gluskin Sheff
Key Euro Crisis milestones ahead – DJ FX Trader
5 reasons to overweight the UK relative to EMU – Goldman Sachs
Top trades for 2012 – Goldman Sachs
Mr. Roche is the Founder and Chief Investment Officer of Discipline Funds.Discipline Funds is a low fee financial advisory firm with a focus on helping people be more disciplined with their finances.
He is also the author of Pragmatic Capitalism: What Every Investor Needs to Understand About Money and Finance, Understanding the Modern Monetary System and Understanding Modern Portfolio Construction.
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